JW’s Crystal Balls (or “How We’ll Win the League”)
Mar 26th, 2008 by UnitedViews
Sorry for the lack of effort on the site recently. A new job has meant that I’ve had little or no time to spend on United. They seem to have managed all right without my input…
Anyway, JW has kindly stepped into the breach and come up with a set of predictions for the remaining fixtures. He’s usually pretty accurate with these things but let us know if you disagree with him…
Have you been doing your usual end-of-season results prediction stuff?
Based simply on United’s form so far this season, they should get 16 or 17 points from their remaining seven games, so 5-1-1 or 5-2-0 in terms of W-D-L over the seven matches. That would give us 89 or 90 points, versus a maximum 89 points for Chelsea and 88 points for Arsenal, which means we should win the title even if it’s only on goal difference from Chelsea.
It largely depends on the Chelsea and Arsenal games, of course, and my personal feeling is that we won’t lose either — we’ll beat Arsenal at OT and, given our record in the matches against the other Big Four clubs this season, should get a point at Stamford Bridge. But also given our record against the more modest sides this season, I can see a slip-up in a nominally more straightforward game, e.g. losing at Blackburn or Middlesbrough, or held at home by Villa or West Ham.
Chelsea and Arsenal also, of course, need to really put a run together to challenge us, something Chelsea might do but Arsenal seem unlikely to given the way their confidence has evaporated in recent weeks. But Chelsea will need to win pretty much every game, and they have some interesting away games at Everton and Man City.
Anyway, can’t believe how good we’re looking after the despair I felt after the home defeat to Cit-Eh. And amazing how Arsenal have nosedived in the wake of the 4-0 cup mauling at OT and the Eduardo injury.
my predictions — guess who ends up league champions?
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 15 | +49 | 73 |
| Chelsea | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 68 |
| Arsenal | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 59 | 24 | +35 | 67 |
……
Mar. 29-30
Man Utd 2-0 Aston Villa
Bolton 1-1 Arsenal
Chelsea 3-0 Middlesbrough
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 15 | +51 | 76 |
| Chelsea | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 23 | +35 | 71 |
| Arsenal | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 60 | 25 | +35 | 68 |
……
Apr. 5-6
Arsenal 2-1 Liverpool
Man City 0-2 Chelsea
Middlesbrough 1-3 Man Utd
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 69 | 16 | +53 | 79 |
| Chelsea | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 23 | +37 | 74 |
| Arsenal | 33 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 62 | 26 | +36 | 71 |
……
Apr. 12/13/14
Man Utd 2-0 Arsenal
Chelsea 5-1 Wigan
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 16 | +55 | 82 |
| Chelsea | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 65 | 24 | +41 | 77 |
| Arsenal | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 62 | 28 | +34 | 71 |
……
Apr. 19
Arsenal 3-0 Reading
Blackburn 1-0 Man Utd
Everton 2-2 Chelsea
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 71 | 17 | +54 | 82 |
| Chelsea | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 67 | 26 | +41 | 78 |
| Arsenal | 35 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 65 | 28 | +37 | 74 |
……
Apr. 26
Chelsea 1-1 Man Utd
Apr. 28
Derby 0-4 Arsenal
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 72 | 18 | +54 | 83 |
| Chelsea | 36 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 68 | 27 | +41 | 79 |
| Arsenal | 36 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 69 | 28 | +41 | 77 |
……
May 3
Arsenal 0-0 Everton
Man Utd 4-0 West Ham
Newcastle 1-3 Chelsea
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 18 | +58 | 86 |
| Chelsea | 37 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 71 | 28 | +43 | 82 |
| Arsenal | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 69 | 28 | +41 | 78 |
……
May 11
Chelsea 2-0 Bolton
Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal
Wigan 1-2 Man Utd
| P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | Pts | |
| Man Utd | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 19 | +59 | 89 |
| Chelsea | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 73 | 28 | +45 | 85 |
| Arsenal | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 71 | 28 | +43 | 81 |